It’s time for March Madness. A time when we fill out our brackets to be the best NCAA Basketball prognosticator. NETimeGambling.com is here to help with the March Madness Tips for a Successful Bracket.
“The one inalienable truth about March Madness is that your bracket – and my bracket, and the overwhelming majority of brackets from coast to coast – will very likely implode by the end of the tournament’s first weekend.”According to Robert Deutsch of USA TODAY Sports
NETimeGambling.com investigated strategies for a successful March Madness bracket. While many are based on statistics, we all know that surprises are inevitable. Our disclaimer for these suggestions is to “follow them at your own risk.”
Related Posts – Tournament History & Comparing Rhode Island and New Hampshire Sports Betting.
2021 Tournaments Have Different Look
Both men and women’s NCAA Tournaments are in a bubble this year. The 2021 NCAA DI men’s basketball tournament will be unlike any March Madness that has come before. All games will be played in Indiana, with most in Indianapolis.
There are some slight changes to how the brackets in both men and women tournaments will be seeded. The top four seeds will be handled the same and so will the First Four. The changes will come in how the rest of the bracket is completed. Teams will be placed in the bracket based on rankings without the usual considerations for geography. This is called using the “S-curve” to fill the bracket. There will be 37 at-large selections (one more than normal) and 31 automatic qualifiers (one fewer than normal).
2021 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament Overview
Locations and Sites for the 2021 NCAA men’s basketball tournament:
- Teams: 68
- Bubble Locations include: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, IN); Bankers Life Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN); Hinkle Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN); Indiana Farmers Coliseum (Indianapolis, IN); Assembly Hall (Bloomington, IN); Mackey Arena (West Lafayette, IN)
- Finals site: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
- Championship game: 9pm ET Monday, April 5
2021 NCAA Division I Women’s Basketball Tournament Overview
The 2021 NCAA women’s basketball tournament will take place in Texas at the following five sites:
- Teams: 64The Alamodome (San Antonio, TX)
- Bubble Locations include: Bill Greehey Arena (San Antonio, TX); UTSA Convocation Center (San Antonio, TX); Frank Erwin Center (Austin, TX); University Events Center (San Marcos, TX)
- Finals site: : Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas
- Championship game: Sunday, April 4
March Madness Tips for a Successful Bracket
Tips from Mike Benzie, from NCAA.com
Considering data from 1985 since the tournament field was expanded to 64 teams and 32 first-round games Mike Benzie, from NCAA.com, says “…here are some things we learned:
- The world is not picking the 12 seed enough – No. 12 seeds win almost 36 percent of their games, but we pick them a little less than 23 percent of the time.
- The 8-9 game is a virtual lock. We’ve picked the 8 seed at a slightly higher clip, but it’s really close.
- You can go with the higher seeds in the first round, but you probably want a total of six upsets among teams seeded 10-15. History shows that’s about how many of those lower seeds actually win in the first round. That’s where the skill comes in – picking those six and trying not to knock out a potential Final Four team. Last year, 10 such double-digit seeds won.”12 March Madness Tips from
Tips from Dr. Tim Chartier – Leave Your Feelings Out of It
Dr. Tim Chartier, a mathematics professor at Davidson College, has come closer than most in identifying the dynamics involved in March Madness. Read the article linked above. To his point, Chartier’s student-selected brackets have scored as high as 99.9 percent in their selections, beating millions of others in ESPN challenges.
Tips from Luke Morris
Finally, considering tips for actually winning your NCAA Tournament pool, we turn to By Luke Morris, Staff Writer from Sports Day in Dallas, Texas.
- Know your pool’s scoring system: This first step could dictate plenty of decisions throughout your bracket. By knowing whether a pool’s scoring system weights upset victories and whether correct pick values multiply with each successive round, you can determine how aggressively to play.
- Easy as 1, 2, 3 (usually): Only one champion in the past 15 years has been seeded lower than No. 3. (Go UConn, #7 in 2014!)
- Look back at non-conference play: Teams from lesser-regarded conferences are harder to evaluate. Look back at their non-conference games. Teams who keep contests close or hold opponents to low scores can have Cinderella makings.
- Advance all 4-seeds at your own risk.
- The second-round slip: Boot one of the #1 seeds and #2seeds out in the round of 32. At least one of each has dropped out in that round since 1996.
- Conferences to avoid: Here’s a warning for those tempted to pick a Big Ten or Pac-12 school as champ: Those two major conferences have not produced a national champion over the last 16 seasons.
Good Luck with your brackets.
The Author – Robin T. Aubin (AKA Binbin at NETimeGambling.com).
Bin has been a guest on Cousin Vito’s Casino Podcast and The Bettor Life Podcast. He has also been a guest on The Art in the Game Podcast and TravelZork’s ZorkCast with Michael Trager. Robin also writes monthly posts and articles concerning New England casinos for TravelZork.
NETime Gambling has offered the most comprehensive coverage of New England casinos. Our goal has been to provide a service and resource for local and visiting gamblers. Because of this, we feature news, promotions, gambling strategies, and personal opinions. Whether it be slots, table games, dining, or entertainment, we cover it all. There are three of us – Binbin (that’s me), Miguel & Bert.